Brent crude falls below $98 a barrel amid peace hopes
Brent crude keeps falling amid hopes that the strait of Hormuz could soon be open again. The global benchmark has slid to $97.48 a barrel, down $12 a barrel – a near-11% drop, the lowest since 22 April.
US West Texas intermediate crude fell 11.3% to $90.74 a barrel.
Reuters reported, citing a Pakistani source, that the US and Iran are getting closer to an initial peace deal.
David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation, said:
double quotation markThis move triggered a wave of ‘risk-on’ trading across financial markets as investors added on a ‘peace dividend’ across the board. There have been no further details concerning what may be included in the memo.
But hopes are high that the strait of Hormuz may soon be reopened, and preferably without Tehran insisting on a toll for shipping passing through. Surging energy costs have already begun to create demand destruction globally. And even if the strait reopens, normalisation in shipping and trade flows could take months. Oil inventories are not critically low, but uneven distribution and declining buffers continue to raise concerns about localised shortages.
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) navy has announced the strait of Hormuz could reopen following the end of “threats from aggressors”, in news initially reported by Reuters, citing state media.
More on the IRGC navy’s announcement on the strait of Hormuz – in a series of posts on social media in Persian and English, it thanked captains and shipowners in the Gulf for “complying with Iran’s strait of Hormuz regulations and contributing to regional maritime security”. It added:
double quotation markWith aggressor’s threats neutralised and new protocols in place, safe [and] stable passage through [the strait] will be ensured.
Share
Updated at 07.38 EDT
Key events
Show key events only
Please turn on JavaScript to use this feature
Closing summary
Oil and gas prices have fallen sharply today, on hopes of a potential US-Iran peace agreement.
Brent crude slid 11% to below $98 a barrel earlier, and is now trading 6% lower at $103.23 a barrel.
In wholesale gas markets, the British June contract fell 6.3% to 107.8p per therm, while the Dutch contract dropped 6.2% to €44.04 per megawatt hour.
However: Ebrahim Rezaei, the spokesperson of the Iranian parliament’s national security and foreign policy commission, poured cold water on the Axios report claiming the US and Iran were nearing a one-page memorandum to end the war, saying it was an “American wishlist [and] not a reality”.
In a fiery statement on X, he said: “Americans will not gain in a lost war what they failed to achieve in face-to-face negotiations. Iran has its finger on the trigger and is ready; if they do not surrender and grant the necessary concessions, or if they or their lapdogs attempt any mischief, we will respond with a harsh and regrettable response.
Iran’s foreign ministry spokesperson, Esmail Baghaei, also responded to the Axios report, telling the Iranian Isna news agency that the US proposal is still being reviewed by Tehran.
Wall Street has opened higher, extending its strong run amid the continued euphoria surrounding artificial intelligence which has boosted technology stocks.
The Dow Jones rose 0.9% while the S&P 500 gained 0.7% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 0.8%. The S&P 500’s energy index has fallen 3%.
In Europe, the FTSE 100 index in London gained 2.1%, or 217 points, to 10,435.
Europe’s biggest airline Ryanair leapt nearly 11% leading a rally among travel stocks such as British Airways owner IAG, Tui, easyJet, Lufthansa and French hotel group Accor, all up more than 6%.
Calm has returned to UK government bonds, where yields jumped to a 28-year high on Tuesday, limiting the room for manoeuvre for the chancellor Rachel Reeves in her spending and tax plans.
The yield, or interest rate, on the 30-year bond dipped to 5.6%, 9 basis points lower, after hitting the highest since 1998 on Tuesday.
The 10-year gilt yield is down 11 bps at 4.9%.
Spot gold has climbed 3.1% to $4,699 an ounce.
Our main stories today:
Share
Updated at 10.13 EDT
Kalyeena Makortoff
Like PayPal, Mastercard and Visa are also staying tight-lipped regarding the FCA investigation into potential breaches of the UK’s competition act regarding deals with Paypal, but assured they were cooperating with regulator.
Visa did not confirm when it was notified about the probe, but said the FCA had opened an inquiry into “certain contractual provisions regarding the PayPal digital wallet.
Mastercard said the FCA had requested details of its “contractual relationship” with PayPal, adding:
double quotation markMastercard works to ensure we meet the highest standards of competition law and will be cooperating fully and transparently with the FCA.
Visa said:
double quotation markVisa is cooperating with the FCA in its inquiry.
Paypal also weighed in, saying in a brief statement:
double quotation markPayPal is cooperating with the FCA. As this is a pending investigation, we cannot comment further at this time.
Share
Aviva’s York offices were disrupted by protesters targeting the insurer’s activities, in the latest twist in a turbulent season for shareholder meetings.
It comes after NatWest’s annual general meeting (AGM) was halted last week by singing activists, while other shareholders like the Church of England pension board also accused the bank of backtracking on climate commitments.
Campaign group Boycott Bloody Insurance claimed to be behind 12 people with shares in Aviva disrupting its AGM on Wednesday.
The Aviva logo. Photograph: Anna Gowthorpe/PAShareKalyeena Makortoff
Paypal, Mastercard and Visa are in the FCA’s crosshairs, with the City regulator announcing a fresh investigation into suspected anti-competitive behaviour between the three American payment firms.
The investigation is in regards to the funding and use of Paypal’s digital wallet, the FCA said, and is in related to a potential breach of the UK’s Competition Act.
In a brief statement, the regulator said it was currently gathering evidence:
double quotation mark
The FCA has reached no conclusions nor made any findings with regard to competition law having been broken.
The FCA refused to offer any further details when contacted by the Guardian.
Paypal said on Tuesday that it was first notified that it was under investigation by the regulator in March:
double quotation markIn March 2026, we received notices of investigations and related requests for information from the U.K. Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) under the Competition Act 1998 regarding certain provisions in PayPal’s contractual agreements with Visa and Mastercard relating to funding and use of the PayPal digital wallet. We are cooperating with the FCA in connection with these investigations.
ShareSarah Butler
Ramsdens, the pawnbroker, has upped profits forecasts for the third time this year as the high price of gold has boosted trade.
The company now expects annual pre-tax profits of up to £31.5m, £3.5m more than its previous most optimistic estimate, as it said jewellery retail sales were up 25% in the first seven months of its financial year.
The news sent the pawnbroker’s share price 8.5% higher.
Ramsdens bought 50% more gold as the price of the precious metal soared by the same amount during some weeks of the first half of the year.
double quotation markThe company has continued to perform well across its core income streams and has seen further benefit from the sustained, very high gold price compared to historical levels in its purchase of precious metals division,
Ramsdens said in an unscheduled statement ahead of its half-year figures, which are expected to be published next month.
It said it is updating profit expectations but is “conscious that the current geopolitical and economic climate remains uncertain and this has made the gold price volatile” and “recent reports around fuel shortages impacting flights over the summer may also impact international travel and consequently our foreign currency sales”.
The spot price of gold climbed 3% to $4,693 an ounce on Wednesday.
A Ramdsdens shop on Beveridge Way in Newton Aycliffe, County Durham. Photograph: Christopher Thomond/The GuardianShare
Updated at 09.38 EDT
Brent crude has risen back above $100 a barrel, but is still down almost 9% on the day.
The global benchmark is now trading at $100.28 a barrel, $9.56 a barrel lower.
European gas prices are also sliding on hopes that strait of Hormuz could reopen soon.
The benchmark Dutch front-month contract fell nearly 12% earlier and is now down 8.6% at €42.91 per megawatt hour.
The British June gas contract fell 8.5% to 105.15p per therm.
Share
Updated at 08.18 EDT
Brent crude falls below $98 a barrel amid peace hopes
Brent crude keeps falling amid hopes that the strait of Hormuz could soon be open again. The global benchmark has slid to $97.48 a barrel, down $12 a barrel – a near-11% drop, the lowest since 22 April.
US West Texas intermediate crude fell 11.3% to $90.74 a barrel.
Reuters reported, citing a Pakistani source, that the US and Iran are getting closer to an initial peace deal.
David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation, said:
double quotation markThis move triggered a wave of ‘risk-on’ trading across financial markets as investors added on a ‘peace dividend’ across the board. There have been no further details concerning what may be included in the memo.
But hopes are high that the strait of Hormuz may soon be reopened, and preferably without Tehran insisting on a toll for shipping passing through. Surging energy costs have already begun to create demand destruction globally. And even if the strait reopens, normalisation in shipping and trade flows could take months. Oil inventories are not critically low, but uneven distribution and declining buffers continue to raise concerns about localised shortages.
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) navy has announced the strait of Hormuz could reopen following the end of “threats from aggressors”, in news initially reported by Reuters, citing state media.
More on the IRGC navy’s announcement on the strait of Hormuz – in a series of posts on social media in Persian and English, it thanked captains and shipowners in the Gulf for “complying with Iran’s strait of Hormuz regulations and contributing to regional maritime security”. It added:
double quotation markWith aggressor’s threats neutralised and new protocols in place, safe [and] stable passage through [the strait] will be ensured.
Share
Updated at 07.38 EDT
Novo shares jump after it reports surging demand for Wegovy pill
Wegovy maker Novo Nordisk said surging demand for its new weight loss pill means it will beat forecasts, sending its shares soaring.
The Copenhagen-listed share price jumped 6.6%, but is down 7.7% so far this year.
The Danish company, once the poster-child for the growth in weight-loss treatments, has been pinning its hopes on the Wegovy pill, launched in January, as it tries to recover lost ground in its battle with Mounjaro manufacturer Eli Lilly.
Struggling against competition from Lilly and generic drugmakers, Novo issued several profit warnings in recent months, the last one in February, and cut thousands of jobs last year.
Today, it said the Wegovy pill’s launch was the strongest of any obesity drug in the US. It expects the tablet to launch in other countries later this year.
The company reported more than two million prescriptions of the pill since its launch stateside, with weekly prescriptions exceeding 200,000. Sales of the pill hit 2.26 billion Danish krone (£261m) in the quarter to 31 March, beating analyst predictions.
Even so, the group’s adjusted net sales were down 10% for the quarter, and adjusted operating profit fell 15%.
It said adjusted sales could drop as much as 12% this year, but this marked an improvement from previous guidance of 13%.
Mike Doustdar, Novo’s cchief executive, said:
double quotation markWegovy is driving a strong start to 2026 for Novo Nordisk, led by the rapid adoption of Wegovy pill – the most efficacious GLP-1 tablet now used by more than one million patients since its January launch.
As the global momentum behind peptide-based therapies accelerates, Wegovy pill is defining a novel category as the only oral peptide for the treatment of obesity, setting a new benchmark for what patients and physicians can expect.
The strong Wegovy performance, combined with continued growth in international operations, has led us to raise our 2026 guidance for both adjusted sales and adjusted operating profit.
Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, said:
double quotation markAfter the madness of the last three years it looks like Novo’s shares are returning to their longer-term trend – the euphoria that saw the shares reach such dizzying highs has entirely evaporated, but today’s numbers still point to a very healthy business and a long-term opportunity in Wegovy.
It might not have changed the world overnight, but it certainly marked a shift in treatments, a more consequential story in the long run, and one far more beneficial to sensible growth in the share price.
Share
Brent crude falls 9% through $100 a barrel amid peace hopes
Brent crude futures have fallen below $100 a barrel!
The global benchmark is trading 9.2% lower at $99.79 a barrel.
Safe transit through the strait of Hormuz will be ensured with US threats coming to an end and new procedures in place, the Revolutionary Guards’ navy said on Wednesday, Reuters reported, citing state media. This is Iran’s first reaction to the US pausing operations to help stranded ships pass through the strait.
The Guards’ statement did not specify what the new procedures entailed, and thanked owners and captains of ships for respecting Iranian regulations when moving through the waterway.
As reported earlier, there are fresh hopes of an end to US-Israeli-war with Iran.
The US believes it is getting close to an agreement with Iran on a one-page memorandum of understanding to end the war, according to the American news website Axios, citing two US officials and two other sources briefed on the issue.
Axios also reported that both sides have set a framework for more detailed negotiations on Iran’s nuclear programme, a key issue at the heart of deadlocked talks between Washington and Tehran.
More on our our Middle East live blog:
Share
Updated at 07.33 EDT
Mirror and Express publisher suffers biggest slump in digital sales in two years
Mark Sweney
The publisher of the Daily Mirror and Daily Express has suffered its biggest slump in digital revenues in more than two years, as online readership continues to plunge due to algorithm changes made by Google as the AI revolution gathers pace.
Reach, which also owns more than 100 regional titles including the Manchester Evening News, the Birmingham Mail and the Liverpool Echo, reported that digital revenues slumped by 8.1% in the first three months of the year.
The publisher, which first flagged issues with search and referral volumes last July, said that “referral volumes, mainly from Google, were materially lower and reduced across the quarter”.
The 8.1% slump in digital revenues, which Reach has been banking on growing to counter the decline in its print-based business, is the biggest since the publisher reported an 8.5% decline in the first quarter of 2024.
Overall, Reach said that total group revenue fell by 6.9%, with print revenue declining 6.6%.
The performance of Reach, which as a FTSE-listed company publicly reports results each quarter, provides a stark almost real-time insight into the existential crisis facing news publishers as big tech companies harness AI.
At the company’s full-year 2025 results presentation, Piers North, who was appointed chief executive at Reach in March last year, said that Google referrals make up around 35% of Reach page views.
Around a fifth of traffic comes from users directly visiting Reach sites, while referrals from social media, including Facebook and Whatsapp grew by 21% last year and now account for 27% of traffic.
Last year, the company belatedly moved to start building a digital subscription model, in a bid to diversify digital income streams, and has set a target of 75,000 subscribers by the end of this year.
To date the company has launched paid-for options for an ad-free experience across 11 of its flagship titles, including Manchester Eveneing News, Liverpool Echo, WalesOnline, the Express and the Daily Record.
In the coming months digital subscription tiers will be launched for the Mirror, Star, Nottingham Post and The Sentinel, known as Stoke-on-Trent Live.
Last February, The Sun launched a £2-a-month digital subscription that includes access to columns by star writers including Jeremy Clarkson, holiday deals, and some exclusive stories and investigations.
Share
Updated at 06.43 EDT
Brent crude falls 8% to hover just above $100 a barrel
Brent crude futures have now fallen 8.08%, hovering just above the $100 level, at 100.99 a barrel.
Donald Trump put “Project Freedom” – the US effort to guide stranded vessels out of the strait of Hormuz – on hold after just one day, so he could work on a deal with Tehran, and claimed that “great progress” was being made in a social media post last night.
The US believes it is getting close to an agreement with Iran on a one-page memorandum of understanding to end the war, according to the American news website Axios, citing two US officials and two other sources briefed on the issue.
Axios also reported that both sides have set a framework for more detailed negotiations on Iran’s nuclear programme, a key issue at the heart of deadlocked talks between Washington and Tehran.
More on our our Middle East live blog:
US secretary of state Marco Rubio has said the military objectives of so-called “Operation Epic Fury” have concluded and the offensive stage of the war with Iran is “over”.
Speaking at the White House press briefing, Rubio insisted that ongoing US military action in the strait of Hormuz is “defensive” in nature and a separate operation, in line with the Trump administration’s argument that it doesn’t need approval from Congress to continue the war against Iran. “There’s no shooting unless we’re shot at first,” he told reporters, urging Iran to “make the sensible choice” and negotiate a deal.
Share
Airports should be banned from serving alcohol to passengers before early morning flights, the Ryanair boss, Michael O’Leary, has said. He said the measure would reduce the number of passengers who were disruptive onboard aircraft.
O’Leary said Ryanair was being forced to divert an average of nearly one flight a day because of bad behaviour onboard, up from one a week a decade ago.
In an interview with the Times, O’Leary said:
double quotation markIt’s becoming a real challenge for all airlines. I fail to understand why anybody in airport bars is serving people at five or six o’clock in the morning. Who needs to be drinking beer at that time?
Airside bars in the UK are not required to follow restrictions on opening hours that apply to other venues selling alcohol. O’Leary said:
double quotation markThere should be no alcohol served at airports outside [those] licensing hours.
Share
On a cheery note…
The four-day bank holiday weekend was a busy one for pubs, which enjoyed a (much needed) sales boost.
Pubs sold 27.3m pints over the four-day bank holiday weekend, up 5% on last year, amid warmer weather and as people stayed longer (an average of 157 minutes, up 11 minutes year on year).
New data from The Oxford Partnership showed that the bank holiday generated an average of 823 pints per pub, up from 793 in 2025, delivering £4,303 in income per site. Pubs were 65.5% full, on average, and Monday was the busiest day.
City centre pubs remained the busiest (70.8% full), while rural pubs saw the strongest uplift, benefiting from better weather and destination-led visits.
East London pub. Photograph: Tim E White/Alamy
There was a continued shift towards premium beer and experience-led drinking. Stout led the market, surging 14.8% year on year, while world lager (+8.4%) and premium lager (+8.1%) also delivered strong growth.
The Oxford Partnership’s chief executive Ali Jordan said:
double quotation markThis Bank Holiday shows the on trade at its best. When the conditions are right, consumers are coming out, staying longer and fully embracing the social occasion. What’s particularly encouraging is that this growth is being driven by longer, more relaxed visits rather than just spikes in footfall. However, the shift in behaviour is clear. Growth is increasingly coming from premium, experience-led occasions, with consumers prioritising quality and time spent over pure volume. For operators, the opportunity is to maximise these longer visits and trade consumers up across the occasion.
ShareLisa O’Carroll
Talks between MEPs and EU member states over the controversial US trade deal will begin at 7pm tonight in the wake of Donald Trump’s threat to increase tariffs on cars this week.
The so-called “trilogue” talks between German MEP Bernd Lange’s trade committee and representatives of EU countries are designed to thrash out any remaining differences over the Turnberry deal signed last year at Trump’s golf course.
But the US president’s threat to increase tariffs on EU cars from 15% to 25% has put ratification of the deal at risk, with Lange saying Trump has proved again he is an unreliable partner for the EU.
Lange’s committee is looking for three amendments:
a sunrise clause, enabling the deal only if the US respects its commitments
a sunset clause ending the deal in March 2028 unless renewed
and the option to suspend part or all of the deal if Trump issues new tariffs; which would address the current scenario
Lange enters talks with the majority backing of MEPs for his negotiating position but Manfred Weber, the head of the centre right group of MEPs, the EPP, said this week it would be pushing for a quick implementation of the deal.
The threat has reopened divisions within the EU, with German chancellor Friedrich Merz and European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen pushing for a diplomatic solution and the swift implementation of the deal to avert a crisis.
However, French president Emmanuel Macron on Tuesday called on the EU to activate its so called trade “bazooka”, the anti-coercion instrument that would enable the EU to impose sweeping retaliatory measures.
Trump said he was imposing the tariffs because the EU was taking so long to implement its side of the deal.
The US side of the deal was already ruled unlawful by the supreme court but the EU is pushing to maintain the deal in a bid to stabilise the transatlantic relationship.
Share
