It’s that time of year—the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, better known as March Madness. College basketball continues to surge in popularity, with Sunday’s Big Ten championship game between Michigan and Purdue drawing a record 4.7 million viewership.
And as college basketball’s popularity soars, so too has the art of creating ridiculous brackets. Fans have chosen their winner pick based on everything from their favorite mascots to asking their pets to choose. Social media users have posted brackets showing who would take the title if it were based on which team’s stadium was closest to a Waffle House (Kennesaw State University, with a Waffle House just 953 feet away) or based on the success of the institutions’ football teams (the University of Miami would win).
But at Inside Higher Ed, we prefer basing our brackets on academic prowess. Since 2006, Inside Higher Ed has used the NCAA’s data on teams’ academic performance to select its March Madness winners.
First, we compare teams’ academic progress rate, the metric the NCAA uses to measure athlete retention and academic eligibility. This year, we used data from 2023–24, the most recent available. In the event of a tie, we then look at the teams’ graduation success rates, which show how many athletes graduated within six years, and if those numbers are also the same, we turn to the federal graduation rate, a more inclusive measure of a team’s completion rate.
In the unlikely event two teams tie three times—or if federal graduation rate isn’t available, as is the case for Ivy League institutions—we use the overall GSR for all of the institution’s athletic programs.
To keep things simple, we also used these metrics to calculate the winners of the First Four matches, even though they will have taken place by the time this story publishes Thursday.
This year’s contests entered with more ties than last, such as the Elite Eight match-up between Hofstra University and the University of Tennessee at Knoxville—both of which have perfect APRs and GSRs. But Hofstra’s federal graduation rate surpassed Tennessee’s, taking the Pride all the way to the finals.
The championship showdown between the University of Pennsylvania and Hofstra was deadlocked, with both teams having the exact same APR and GSR. And Penn, as an Ivy, had no FPR to reference, so we used both institutions’ overall GSRs to determine the winner.
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But then they tied again, with an overall GSR of 98 each! If it were an earlier match-up, we would’ve flipped a coin to decide who would move forward, but for the championship match, it seemed more sportsmanlike to simply let them both be crowned the March Madness academic champions. (Although, for what it’s worth, we did flip a coin just to see what the outcome would be, and Hofstra took the win.)
Congratulations to the Hofstra Pride and the Penn Quakers!
