March 2, 2026
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Here are the flu strains health officials predict could hit hard next season
The WHO has warned countries in the Northern Hemisphere to be prepared to fight influenza viruses that fall under the subtypes H1N1 and H3N2 and the lineage B/Victoria in the next flu season
This winter’s flu season isn’t over yet, but global health authorities are already preparing for the next one. Last week the World Health Organization (WHO) announced which strains it recommends that vaccine makers produce shots for in order to fend off influenza viruses in the coming year.
The WHO recommended making shots tailored to combating the influenza A subtype H1N1, which is also known as swine flu, H3N2, another subtype of the influenza A virus, and the B/Victoria lineage, which is a type of influenza B virus. Officials also called on researchers to prepare “candidate vaccine viruses” for a form of bird flu, H9N2, in case of a future pandemic.
So far this season, in the U.S. alone, flu viruses have caused at least 25 million illnesses and 20,000 deaths, including the deaths of 79 children, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. This year’s WHO vaccine recommendation for the flu season—a period that, in the Northern Hemisphere, typically begins in October and lasts through the following spring—is similar to last year’s. And like last year, this year has seen particularly high flu hospitalization rates. Part of why this season has had so many hospitalizations has been the emergence of a new variant of the virus, known as “subclade K,” which seems to be able to dodge some of the current flu vaccine’s protective effect—although the shot may still offer some defenses, experts say.
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The WHO also warned that flu viruses that usually only infect animals, including bird flu, have sickened at least 25 people across six countries since last September. “The majority of these cases had been exposed to infected animals or to environments contaminated with influenza viruses,” the organization said in its announcement. And while the WHO isn’t aware of any human-to-human transmission of such zoonotic influenza, it doesn’t hurt to be prepared with vaccines, experts say.
The WHO’s recommendations have come amid speculation over the future of next-generation flu vaccines. In February the U.S. Food and Drug Administration agreed to review an mRNA flu jab made by the vaccine maker Moderna, which had successfully used the technology in its mRNA COVID vaccines, after the agency initially refused to do so.
An mRNA flu vaccine, which would work similarly to the COVID vaccines, could be manufactured faster than traditional shots, experts say—something that could come in handy if and when new variants like subclade K emerge long after a given year’s flu shot has been produced.
U.S. officials are also backing efforts to make a universal flu vaccine, which, if successful, could offer broad protection against many different strains of flu viruses.
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