{"id":9770,"date":"2025-06-29T23:50:34","date_gmt":"2025-06-29T23:50:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/?p=9770"},"modified":"2025-06-29T23:50:34","modified_gmt":"2025-06-29T23:50:34","slug":"after-u-s-and-israeli-strikes-could-iran-make-a-nuclear-bomb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/?p=9770","title":{"rendered":"After U.S. and Israeli Strikes, Could Iran Make a Nuclear Bomb?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Sustain nuclear expertise<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c1 svelte-ara38u\">Likely harmed<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Over the decades, Iran built up scientific and engineering expertise in nuclear technology.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Israel says it killed at least 14 of Iran\u2019s leading nuclear experts in the recent attacks. But there is another tier of scientists in Iran who share much of that knowledge. If past experience from previous assassinations of nuclear talent holds, over time, they will likely be able to carry on the work.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Sustain nuclear expertise<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c1 svelte-ara38u\">Likely harmed<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Over the decades, Iran built up scientific and engineering expertise in nuclear technology.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Israel says it killed at least 14 of Iran\u2019s leading nuclear experts in the recent attacks. But there is another tier of scientists in Iran who share much of that knowledge. If past experience from previous assassinations of nuclear talent holds, over time, they will likely be able to carry on the work.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Mine uranium ore<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c0 svelte-ara38u\">Appears unaffected<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Iran has two active uranium mines, both in central Iran. Iran has not reported how much it has mined in recent years, but the material it says is contained in one of the mines, Narigan, would be enough for more than 50 weapons.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Iran\u2019s uranium mines have not been targeted by strikes during the fighting.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Mine uranium ore<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c0 svelte-ara38u\">Appears unaffected<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Iran has two active uranium mines, both in central Iran. Iran has not reported how much it has mined in recent years, but the material it says is contained in one of the mines, Narigan, would be enough for more than 50 weapons.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Iran\u2019s uranium mines have not been targeted by strikes during the fighting.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Convert uranium to gas<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c2 svelte-ara38u\">Possibly destroyed<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">The only known facility in Iran that could convert natural uranium into gas, in the form of uranium hexafluoride, was in Isfahan.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">American missiles severely damaged Iran\u2019s main uranium conversion site, most likely destroying Iran\u2019s ability to convert natural uranium into the form required to start the enrichment process. Rebuilding could take years.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Convert uranium to gas<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c2 svelte-ara38u\">Possibly destroyed<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">The only known facility in Iran that could convert natural uranium into gas, in the form of uranium hexafluoride, was in Isfahan.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">American missiles severely damaged Iran\u2019s main uranium conversion site, most likely destroying Iran\u2019s ability to convert natural uranium into the form required to start the enrichment process. Rebuilding could take years.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Enrich uranium<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c1 svelte-ara38u\">Damaged but extent unclear<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">This is the hardest part of making a nuclear bomb. Producing bomb-grade uranium requires vast arrays of high-speed centrifuges to spin the uranium gas and concentrate the enriched form. Iran\u2019s Natanz and Fordo sites held more than 18,000 centrifuges, mostly underground.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Israel most likely destroyed all the centrifuges at Natanz. And the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency said the centrifuges at Fordo, Iran\u2019s other major enrichment site built deep inside a mountain, appeared \u201cno longer operational\u201d after the U.S. attack. Trump said the facility was \u201cobliterated,\u201d though other assessments were more cautious. Israel also destroyed plants that manufactured centrifuges.<\/p>\n<p>Iran has claimed it has other, secret enrichment facilities. But there is no evidence that other operational enrichment sites exist. Iran has also been assembling advanced, next-generation centrifuges at dispersed locations and, unless diplomacy or military action intervenes, may install them at two underground facilities it has been building.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Enrich uranium<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c1 svelte-ara38u\">Damaged but extent unclear<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">This is the hardest part of making a nuclear bomb. Producing bomb-grade uranium requires vast arrays of high-speed centrifuges to spin the uranium gas and concentrate the enriched form. Iran\u2019s Natanz and Fordo sites held more than 18,000 centrifuges, mostly underground.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Israel most likely destroyed all the centrifuges at Natanz. And the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency said the centrifuges at Fordo, Iran\u2019s other major enrichment site built deep inside a mountain, appeared \u201cno longer operational\u201d after the U.S. attack. Trump said the facility was \u201cobliterated,\u201d though other assessments were more cautious. Israel also destroyed plants that manufactured centrifuges.<\/p>\n<p>Iran has claimed it has other, secret enrichment facilities. But there is no evidence that other operational enrichment sites exist. Iran has also been assembling advanced, next-generation centrifuges at dispersed locations and, unless diplomacy or military action intervenes, may install them at two underground facilities it has been building.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Store the enriched uranium<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c0 svelte-ara38u\">Probably still exists<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">International inspectors estimated this year that Iran had just shy of 900 pounds of nearly bomb-grade uranium. Inspectors last saw some of the stockpile about a week before Israel began its strikes. At that time, it was stored deep inside a nuclear complex near Isfahan in special casks small enough to fit in the trunks of about 10 cars.<\/p>\n<p>Once further enriched, this stockpile would be enough to make nine or 10 atomic weapons, but U.S. intelligence agencies assessed that Iran had not decided whether to make a bomb.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">A classified U.S. report said that much of Iran\u2019s stockpile of enriched uranium was moved before the strikes. The White House has insisted that it was destroyed but cited no evidence. The I.A.E.A. and European intelligence agencies believe Iran likely dispersed its stockpiles of enriched uranium around the country. <\/p>\n<p>The uranium of greatest concern has already been enriched to a purity of 60 percent, greatly shortening the time required to bring it to 90 percent, which is usually considered weapons-grade fuel. But to do so would require some hidden, working centrifuges.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Store the enriched uranium<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c0 svelte-ara38u\">Probably still exists<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">International inspectors estimated this year that Iran had just shy of 900 pounds of nearly bomb-grade uranium. Inspectors last saw some of the stockpile about a week before Israel began its strikes. At that time, it was stored deep inside a nuclear complex near Isfahan in special casks small enough to fit in the trunks of about 10 cars.<\/p>\n<p>Once further enriched, this stockpile would be enough to make nine or 10 atomic weapons, but U.S. intelligence agencies assessed that Iran had not decided whether to make a bomb.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">A classified U.S. report said that much of Iran\u2019s stockpile of enriched uranium was moved before the strikes. The White House has insisted that it was destroyed but cited no evidence. The I.A.E.A. and European intelligence agencies believe Iran likely dispersed its stockpiles of enriched uranium around the country. <\/p>\n<p>The uranium of greatest concern has already been enriched to a purity of 60 percent, greatly shortening the time required to bring it to 90 percent, which is usually considered weapons-grade fuel. But to do so would require some hidden, working centrifuges.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Convert enriched uranium to metal<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c2 svelte-ara38u\">Possibly destroyed<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Iran had one known facility to convert enriched uranium back into its solid metal state \u2014 a critical step before it can be used in a weapon.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Israel destroyed Iran\u2019s uranium metal production facility at Isfahan. Without this important capability, Iran cannot make an atomic bomb. However, one expert cautioned that Iran has produced uranium metal at other locations before, and it may have a secret site to conduct the work elsewhere.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Convert enriched uranium to metal<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c2 svelte-ara38u\">Possibly destroyed<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Iran had one known facility to convert enriched uranium back into its solid metal state \u2014 a critical step before it can be used in a weapon.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Israel destroyed Iran\u2019s uranium metal production facility at Isfahan. Without this important capability, Iran cannot make an atomic bomb. However, one expert cautioned that Iran has produced uranium metal at other locations before, and it may have a secret site to conduct the work elsewhere.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Make a bomb<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c1 svelte-ara38u\">Likely damaged<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">To build a modern atomic weapon with the metal, Iran would need to miniaturize crucial components, such as the detonator system, to fit into a missile-capable warhead. It is unclear whether Iran has this capability, but experts believe it has made some progress, and it is thought to have experimented with triggering devices. American intelligence agencies concluded last year that Iran was working on a \u201cfaster, cruder\u201d approach to a weapon.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Israel destroyed several buildings at the Sanjarian manufacturing facility that were associated with the development of detonation systems and explosives, but Iran may have other similar facilities.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Make a bomb<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c1 svelte-ara38u\">Likely damaged<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">To build a modern atomic weapon with the metal, Iran would need to miniaturize crucial components, such as the detonator system, to fit into a missile-capable warhead. It is unclear whether Iran has this capability, but experts believe it has made some progress, and it is thought to have experimented with triggering devices. American intelligence agencies concluded last year that Iran was working on a \u201cfaster, cruder\u201d approach to a weapon.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Israel destroyed several buildings at the Sanjarian manufacturing facility that were associated with the development of detonation systems and explosives, but Iran may have other similar facilities.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Deliver a weapon<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c0 svelte-ara38u\">Still possible<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">With a weapon, Iran could conduct a nuclear test, as North Korea first did in 2006. There are many ways to deliver a weapon, but if it wants to strike a target from afar, it needs planes or missiles to deliver it. Until recently it had thousands of missiles, many of which could carry an atomic weapon.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Israel claims to have destroyed hundreds of Iran\u2019s missile launchers, but is unlikely to have completely wiped out Iran\u2019s ability to fire a nuclear-capable missile.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"hed svelte-ara38u\">Deliver a weapon<\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"label c0 svelte-ara38u\">Still possible<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Before strikes<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">With a weapon, Iran could conduct a nuclear test, as North Korea first did in 2006. There are many ways to deliver a weapon, but if it wants to strike a target from afar, it needs planes or missiles to deliver it. Until recently it had thousands of missiles, many of which could carry an atomic weapon.<\/p>\n<p>After<\/p>\n<p class=\"text svelte-ara38u\">Israel claims to have destroyed hundreds of Iran\u2019s missile launchers, but is unlikely to have completely wiped out Iran\u2019s ability to fire a nuclear-capable missile.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sustain nuclear expertise Likely harmed Before strikes Over the decades, Iran built up scientific and engineering expertise in nuclear technology. After Israel says it killed at least 14 of Iran\u2019s leading nuclear experts in the recent attacks. But there is another tier of scientists in Iran who share much of that knowledge. If past experience<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9771,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[58],"tags":[212,84,2313,220,85,811],"class_list":{"0":"post-9770","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-science","8":"tag-bomb","9":"tag-iran","10":"tag-israeli","11":"tag-nuclear","12":"tag-strikes","13":"tag-u-s"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9770","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9770"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9770\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9771"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9770"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9770"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9770"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}