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February 19, 2026<\/p>\n
4 min read<\/p>\n
Add Us On Google<\/span>Add SciAm<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Alzheimer\u2019s blood tests predict what age people will be when the disease may cause symptoms, study finds<\/p>\n Tests that could reveal when Alzheimer\u2019s disease will emerge, while promising, are not ready for use in otherwise healthy people, scientists say<\/p>\n By Tanya Lewis edited by Claire Cameron<\/span><\/p>\n Simon Dawson\/Bloomberg Creative\/Getty Images<\/p>\n Blood tests that detect a protein involved in Alzheimer\u2019s disease could help predict the age at which the disease may strike people long before they develop symptoms, according to a new study. But questions remain about the accuracy and uncertainty of these tests, and experts caution that the assays aren\u2019t ready for prime time.<\/p>\n \u201cWhile the results here are encouraging, they are not yet at the level of having significant clinical benefit for individual patients,\u201d says Corey Bolton, a clinical neuropsychologist and an assistant professor of medicine at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, who was not involved in the new study. \u201cAlzheimer\u2019s disease is a complex condition with numerous intersecting risk and resilience factors that vary from person to person. These factors can have a large influence in the age of symptom onset and the rate of clinical decline.\u201d<\/p>\n The study included more than 600 people aged 62 to 78 who were not cognitively impaired. They had blood tests to detect a protein called p-tau217, which accumulates in the brains of people with Alzheimer\u2019s. The researchers then used a model based on the tests to predict the age of onset of the disease in people with no cognitive impairment with three to four years of uncertainty.<\/p>\n If you’re enjoying this article, consider supporting our award-winning journalism by subscribing. By purchasing a subscription you are helping to ensure the future of impactful stories about the discoveries and ideas shaping our world today.<\/p>\n \u201cA key innovation was estimating when they\u2019re going to develop symptoms,\u201d says Suzanne Schindler, an associate professor of neurology at the Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, who co-authored the study. The research was published on Thursday in Nature Medicine. Several of the study authors have consulted for or received funding from companies that make these Alzheimer\u2019s blood tests. Schindler says she provides unpaid consulting to diagnostic companies.<\/p>\n More than seven million Americans are living with Alzheimer\u2019s disease, and there is no cure. The neurodegenerative condition is associated with the buildup of plaques of amyloid protein and tangles of tau protein in the brain, which can develop for a decade or more before visible symptoms such as memory loss or confusion arise.<\/p>\n Blood tests are increasingly used to detect biological signs of the disease. They are much cheaper and easier to administer than traditional diagnostics such as spinal taps or positron-emission tomography (PET) scans. Two tests are approved for use in the U.S. in people with Alzheimer\u2019s symptoms\u2014Lumipulse (made by Fujirebio) and Elecsys (made by Roche Diagnostics).<\/p>\n But these tests may not always accurately predict who will and won\u2019t develop Alzheimer\u2019s, experts say. And the medical consensus is that they should not be taken by people who do not have symptoms of cognitive decline.<\/p>\n Detecting Alzheimer\u2019s before symptoms show up, however, may be crucial to treating it: although there is no cure for the condition, two drugs have been approved that can slow the rate of progression in some people when the disease is caught early. And there are clinical trials of these drugs underway to determine whether treatment could head off the disease in people who have biological signs of the disease but no symptoms. The results are expected in the next few years.<\/p>\n In the new study, Schindler and her colleagues tested how well a blood test for p-tau217 could predict the age at which people who had the protein would develop symptoms of the disease. They found that these blood, or plasma, \u201cclocks\u201d could predict how likely and when people would develop symptoms of the disease. Interestingly, the older a person was, the sooner symptoms would appear.<\/p>\n \u201cSo, for example, if you have a positive blood test when you\u2019re 60, it may take 20 years before you develop symptoms\u2014versus, if you don\u2019t have a positive blood test until you\u2019re 80, it may take only 10 years,\u201d Schindler says.<\/p>\n Of course, the tests are not foolproof. It\u2019s important to note that the researchers are \u201cnot recommending this for people who are asymptomatic,\u201d says Zaldy Tan, a memory and aging specialist at the Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles. And a three- to four-year error margin on either side of diagnosis is \u201ca big window,\u201d he notes, especially if you\u2019re using the knowledge to make decisions about retirement plans or finances.<\/p>\n \u201cOther medical conditions, such as chronic kidney disease and obesity, seem to have a large impact on the circulating levels of these proteins and can greatly influence results, leading to false positives or false negatives,\u201d Bolton says. This study used a type of test that limits the effect of these conditions, he says, but \u201cthere are still many unanswered questions about how these blood tests perform in diverse populations.\u201d<\/p>\n Despite their limits, however, the tests are still valuable for diagnosis and planning treatment, Bolton says. People found to be at greater risk of developing the disease could still benefit from interventions such as exercise, a healthy diet and cognitive or social stimulation.<\/p>\n Nathaniel Chin, a geriatrician and medical director at the Wisconsin Alzheimer\u2019s Disease Research Center in Madison, who was not involved in the study, is \u201cimpressed and excited\u201d by its results. He hopes researchers will replicate the findings in other populations.<\/p>\n The study was funded by a public-private partnership through the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health Biomarkers Consortium. Schindler notes that the study data are publicly available and that anyone can download and analyze them.<\/p>\n If you enjoyed this article, I\u2019d like to ask for your support. 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I hope you\u2019ll support us in that mission.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" February 19, 2026 4 min read Add Us On GoogleAdd SciAm Alzheimer\u2019s blood tests predict what age people will be when the disease may cause symptoms, study finds Tests that could reveal when Alzheimer\u2019s disease will emerge, while promising, are not ready for use in otherwise healthy people, scientists say By Tanya Lewis edited by<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":44724,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[58],"tags":[2822,10032,1110,1453,4391,189,8794,1349,188,3998],"class_list":{"0":"post-44723","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-science","8":"tag-age","9":"tag-alzheimers","10":"tag-average","11":"tag-blood","12":"tag-disease","13":"tag-finds","14":"tag-predict","15":"tag-strike","16":"tag-study","17":"tag-tests"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44723","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=44723"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44723\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/44724"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=44723"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=44723"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=44723"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}On supporting science journalism<\/h2>\n
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