\n<\/p>\n
\n\tVariety\u00a0<\/em>Awards Circuit\u00a0section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars,\u00a0Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by\u00a0Variety\u00a0<\/em>chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t\tRENTAL FAMILY, from left: Mari Yamamoto, Brendan Fraser, 2025. ph: James Lisle \/ \u00a9 Searchlight Pictures \/ courtesy Everett Collection<\/span><\/p>\n \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u00a9Searchlight Pictures\/Courtesy Everett Collection<\/p>\n \n\tOscars Commentary (Updated: Oct. 23, 2025)<\/strong>: As the early days of the Oscar race continues to heat up, the fall festival circuit continues to spotlight quiet contenders and crowd-pleasers alike. At the Middleburg Film Festival, the Audience Award ended in a second consecutive year of a tie between two awards hopefuls: Focus Features\u2019 \u201cHamnet,\u201d Chlo\u00e9 Zhao\u2019s intimate adaptation of Maggie O\u2019Farrell\u2019s novel, and Searchlight\u2019s \u201cRental Family,\u201d Hikari\u2019s offbeat and emotionally resonant dramedy. <\/p>\n \n\tMeanwhile, AFI Fest opened with 20th Century Studios\u2019 \u201cSpringsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere,\u201d Scott Cooper\u2019s biopic chronicling the making of Nebraska, which opens nationwide this weekend. <\/p>\n \n\tAnd down south, the SCAD Savannah Film Festival kicks off Saturday with A24\u2019s \u201cEternity,\u201d a high-concept romance that premiered at Toronto and has its fair share of fans. <\/p>\n \n\tUpdated predictions are below.<\/p>\n \n\tTop 3 projected Oscar nomination leaders (films): \u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d and \u201cSinners\u201d (13); \u201cHamnet\u201d (11); \u201cWicked: For Good\u201d (10)<\/p>\n \n\tTop 3 projected Oscar nomination leaders (studios): Warner Bros. (28); Netflix (16); Focus Features and Neon (15)<\/p>\n \n\t***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong> = PREDICTED WINNER<\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/em> \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Courtesy of Netflix\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\t\u201cAvatar: Fire and Ash<\/strong>\u201d (20th Century Studios) \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Courtesy of Cannes Film Festival\/Kasper Tuxen\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\tPaul Thomas Anderson ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong> \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Courtesy of Sony Pictures Classics\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\tTimoth\u00e9e Chalamet ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong> \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>><\/strong><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Searchlight\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\tJessie Buckley ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong> \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>><\/strong><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Courtesy of Focus Features\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\tBenicio del Toro \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>><\/strong><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Warner Bros. \t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\tElle Fanning \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>><\/strong><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \n\t\u201cFrankenstein<\/strong>\u201d (Netflix) \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Neon\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\t\u201cIt Was Just an Accident<\/strong>\u201d (Neon) \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>><\/strong><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Netflix\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\t\u201cHamnet<\/strong>\u201d (Focus Features) ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/strong> \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>><\/strong><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Courtesy of Annecy\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\t\u201cArco<\/strong>\u201d (Neon) \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Universal Pictures\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\t\u201cAvatar: Fire and Ash<\/strong>\u201d (20th Century Studios) \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: \u00a9Focus Features\/Courtesy Everett Collection\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\t\u201cBugonia<\/strong>\u201d (Focus Features) \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: Sabrina Lantos\/Sony Pictures Classics\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\t\u201cBlue Moon<\/strong>\u201d (Sony Pictures Classics) \n\tOscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon<\/em><\/em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<\/li>\n \t\t\t\t\tImage Credit: \u00a9Warner Bros\/Courtesy Everett Collection\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n \n\t\u201cHamnet<\/strong>\u201d (Focus Features)
(All predicted nominees listed below are in alphabetical order)<\/p>\n\n
Best Picture<\/h2>\n
\u201cFrankenstein<\/strong>\u201d (Netflix)
\u201cHamnet<\/strong>\u201d (Focus Features)
\u201cIt Was Just an Accident<\/strong>\u201d (Neon)
\u201cMarty Supreme<\/strong>\u201d (A24)
\u201cOne Battle After Another<\/strong>\u201d (Warner Bros.) ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong>
\u201cSentimental Value<\/strong>\u201d (Neon)
\u201cSinners<\/strong>\u201d (Warner Bros.)
\u201cTrain Dreams<\/strong>\u201d (Netflix)
\u201cWicked: For Good<\/strong>\u201d (Universal Pictures)<\/p>\nDirector<\/h2>\n
<\/strong>\u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Ryan Coogler
<\/strong>\u201cSinners\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Jafar Panahi
<\/strong>\u201cIt Was Just an Accident\u201d (Neon)
Joachim Trier<\/strong>
\u201cSentimental Value\u201d (Neon)
Chlo\u00e9 Zhao
<\/strong>\u201cHamnet\u201d (Focus Features)<\/p>\nActor<\/h2>\n
<\/strong>\u201cMarty Supreme\u201d (A24)
Leonardo DiCaprio
<\/strong>\u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Ethan Hawke
<\/strong>\u201cBlue Moon\u201d (Sony Pictures Classics)
Michael B. Jordan<\/strong>
\u201cSinners\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Wagner Moura
<\/strong>\u201cThe Secret Agent\u201d (Neon)<\/p>\nActress<\/h2>\n
<\/strong>\u201cHamnet\u201d (Focus Features)
Cynthia Erivo
<\/strong>\u201cWicked: For Good\u201d (Universal Pictures)
Kate Hudson
<\/strong>\u201cSong Sung Blue\u201d (Focus Features)
Renate Reinsve
<\/strong>\u201cSentimental Value\u201d (Neon)
Amanda Seyfried
<\/strong>\u201cThe Testament of Ann Lee\u201d (Searchlight Pictures)<\/p>\nSupporting Actor<\/h2>\n
<\/strong>\u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Paul Mescal
<\/strong>\u201cHamnet\u201d (Focus Features)
Sean Penn ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>
<\/strong>\u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Andrew Scott
<\/strong>\u201cBlue Moon\u201d (Sony Pictures Classics)
Stellan Skarsg\u00e5rd
<\/strong>\u201cSentimental Value\u201d (Neon)<\/p>\nSupporting Actress<\/h2>\n
<\/strong>\u201cSentimental Value\u201d (Neon)
Ariana Grande ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/strong>
<\/strong>\u201cWicked: For Good\u201d (Universal Pictures)
Regina Hall
<\/strong>\u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Amy Madigan<\/strong>
\u201cWeapons\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Teyana Taylor
<\/strong>\u201cOne Battle After Another\u201d (Warner Bros.)<\/p>\nCasting<\/h2>\n
Robin D. Cook
\u201cHamnet<\/strong>\u201d (Focus Features)
Nina Gold
\u201cMarty Supreme<\/strong>\u201d (A24)
Jennifer Venditti
\u201cOne Battle After Another<\/strong>\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Cassandra Kulukundis
\u201cSinners<\/strong>\u201d (Warner Bros.) ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/strong>
Francine Maisler<\/p>\nOriginal Screenplay<\/h2>\n
Jafar Panahi
\u201cJay Kelly<\/strong>\u201d (Netflix)
Noah Baumbach, Emily Mortimer
\u201cMarty Supreme<\/strong>\u201d (A24)
Josh Safdie
\u201cSentimental Value<\/strong>\u201d (Neon)
Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt
\u201cSinners<\/strong>\u201d (Warner Bros.) ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/strong>
Ryan Coogler<\/p>\nAdapted Screenplay<\/h2>\n
Maggie O\u2019Farrell and Chlo\u00e9 Zhao
\u201cOne Battle After Another<\/strong>\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Paul Thomas Anderson
\u201cSong Sung Blue<\/strong>\u201d (Focus Features)
Craig Brewer
\u201cTrain Dreams<\/strong>\u201d (Netflix)
Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar
\u201cWake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Story<\/strong>\u201d (Netflix)
Rian Johnson<\/p>\nAnimated Feature<\/h2>\n
\u201cIn Your Dreams<\/strong>\u201d (Netflix)
\u201cKPop Demon Hunters<\/strong>\u201d (Netflix) ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/strong>
\u201cLittle Am\u00e9lie or the Character of Rain<\/strong>\u201d (GKids)
\u201cZootopia 2<\/strong>\u201d (Walt Disney Pictures)<\/p>\nProduction Design<\/h2>\n
Dylan Cole, Vanessa Cole, Ben Procter
\u201cFrankenstein<\/strong>\u201d (Netflix)
Tamara Deverell, Shane Vieau
\u201cHamnet<\/strong>\u201d (Focus Features)
Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
\u201cSinners<\/strong>\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Hannah Bleachler, Monique Champagne
\u201cWicked: For Good<\/strong>\u201d (Universal Pictures) ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/strong>
Nathan Crowley, Lee Sandales<\/p>\nCinematography<\/h2>\n
Robbie Ryan
\u201cHamnet<\/strong>\u201d (Focus Features)
\u0141ukasz \u017bal
\u201cOne Battle After Another<\/strong>\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Michael Bauman
\u201cSinners<\/strong>\u201d (Warner Bros.) ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/strong>
Autumn Durald Arkapaw
\u201cTrain Dreams<\/strong>\u201d (Netflix)
Adolpho Veloso<\/p>\nCostume Design<\/h2>\n
Consolata Boyle
\u201cFrankenstein<\/strong>\u201d (Netflix)
Kate Hawley
\u201cHamnet<\/strong>\u201d (Focus Features)
Malgosia Turzanska
\u201cSinners<\/strong>\u201d (Warner Bros.)
Ruth E. Carter
\u201cWicked: For Good<\/strong>\u201d (Universal Pictures) ***<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/strong>
Paul Tazewell<\/p>\nFilm Editing<\/h2>\n