{"id":23636,"date":"2025-09-25T04:59:28","date_gmt":"2025-09-25T04:59:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/?p=23636"},"modified":"2025-09-25T04:59:28","modified_gmt":"2025-09-25T04:59:28","slug":"for-trump-job-and-crime-data-is-phony-unless-it-supports-his-views","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/?p=23636","title":{"rendered":"For Trump, Job and Crime Data Is \u2018Phony,\u2019 Unless It Supports His Views"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">To President Trump, the veracity of statistics and scorekeepers can turn on a dime.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">When data works in his favor, he praises, repeats and often exaggerates the figures. When the numbers on crime or the economy run counter to his narrative, they are frequently deemed \u201cfake,\u201d \u201cphony\u201d and a \u201cfraud.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">In his second term, he has escalated attacks on independent data, including firing the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics after an unfavorable jobs report, misrepresenting evidence on vaccines, and stopping data collection on climate change, bird flu and food insecurity. The moves threaten trust in sources that have informed policymakers for generations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">A White House spokeswoman said on Wednesday that the president was \u201ccommitted to ensuring Americans have access to accurate and reliable public data,\u201d and had called out shortcomings in government data that had undermined the public trust.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Here are three examples of Mr. Trump&#8217;s pressure tactics and selective approach to government data.<\/p>\n<p><h2 class=\"g-subhed  svelte-pkjcxq\">Jobs Data<strong\/><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">For years, Mr. Trump has ping-ponged between boasting about favorable jobs data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and disparaging disappointing figures as fraudulent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">In the lead-up to the 2024 election, he repeatedly dismissed the bureau\u2019s figures on job growth under President Joseph R. Biden Jr.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">Sept. 8, 2023<\/h2>\n<p class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">Mr. Trump cast reports of unemployment below 4 percent as \u201cphony\u201d at a South Dakota rally.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Despite Mr. Trump\u2019s claim of misleading metrics, the agency did not change its unemployment rubric. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases six measures of unemployment and has long designated one \u2014 the number of people who have been searching for a job for four weeks \u2014 as the official rate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Mr. Trump later attacked the agency for an unusually large revision of jobs data. Without providing evidence, he accused it of hiding data and providing cover for Mr. Biden.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">But once he returned to office, Mr. Trump began to celebrate the bureau\u2019s reports.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">April 29, 2025<\/h2>\n<p class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">At a rally in Michigan, he trumpeted job growth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-timeline-quote svelte-1ex06bd\">\u201cIn three months, we have <strong>created 350,000 jobs.<\/strong>\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Then, after an anemic report for July and downward revisions of growth in his second term, Mr. Trump immediately reverted to attacking the agency.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">And, in a startling escalation, he fired its commissioner, Erika McEntarfer.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">Aug. 1, 2025<\/h2>\n<p class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">Defending the move that same day, he again pointed to \u201cphony\u201d numbers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">(Some aides to Mr. Trump made a different argument: The jobs data revisions during Ms. McEntarfer\u2019s tenure were unacceptably large.)<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Economists and experts in government statistics say that for now, the jobs data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics continues to be trustworthy, though its estimates are subject to revision. Experts said any interference with the process of compiling statistics would be very difficult and not go unnoticed.<\/p>\n<p><h2 class=\"g-subhed  svelte-pkjcxq\">Crime Data<strong\/><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">In Mr. Trump\u2019s telling, cities are plagued with record-shattering waves of crime, justifying deployments of troops and federal law enforcement. In reality, though crime remains a concern for many urban residents, violent crime in many U.S. cities is at a low over recent decades and has declined after a pandemic surge.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">June 22, 2024<\/h2>\n<p class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">At a campaign rally in Philadelphia, Mr. Trump claimed that data showing a decline in crime was fraudulent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Once elected to a second term, Mr. Trump instead lauded drops in crime.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-timeline-quote svelte-1ex06bd\">\u201c<strong>Crime is down in Washington, D.C., street crime, violent crime, by 25 percent.<\/strong> And people have seen \u2014 they\u2019ve noticed a big difference.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">But in August, as he announced a federal takeover of Washington\u2019s police force, Mr. Trump claimed, falsely, that the city was awash in historic levels of crime. When local officials retorted by citing the same decline in violent crime that he had noted months earlier, Mr. Trump claimed that the numbers were \u201cphony.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">Aug. 26, 2025<\/h2>\n<p class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">Later that month, at a cabinet meeting, he suggested there was a conspiracy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">A White House official said the president was pointing out reports that data was \u201cmanipulated,\u201d something he had not previously been aware of when citing Washington crime data.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Earlier, in July, local news reported that Washington\u2019s Metropolitan Police Department had opened an internal police investigation into whether a commander had misclassified crimes by downplaying their severity; the commander has denied doing so. The commander was placed on leave, and the Justice Department opened an investigation into the matter.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Experts have said that while it is possible the city underreports some crime data on its public website, its official reports to the F.B.I. are still reliable and do show a decline in violent crime.<\/p>\n<p><h2 class=\"g-subhed  svelte-pkjcxq\">The Economy and Tariffs<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Mr. Trump has also alternated between citing and attacking the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. He has cited analyses that paint the tariffs that are core to his economic agenda as a revenue generator but denounced the office when its reports undercut his legislative policies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">In his most recent presidential campaign, Mr. Trump cited the office\u2019s projections for economic growth and the cost of legislation to assail Mr. Biden\u2019s policies as ineffective and costly. In doing so, he suggested the agency was a neutral and believable arbiter.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">January 2022<\/h2>\n<p class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">He cited the budget office\u2019s economic analysis at a rally in Texas.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">But soon after returning to office, as the budget office started to analyze his own economic policies, Mr. Trump began deriding its forecasts and the office itself with false and unsupported claims.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">May 30, 2025<\/h2>\n<p class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">He accused the office of \u201cpurposefully\u201d underestimating economic growth in a social media post.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-timeline-quote svelte-1ex06bd\">\u201cThe Democrat inspired and \u2018controlled\u2019 Congressional Budget Office (CBO) <strong>purposefully gave us an EXTREMELY LOW level of Growth,<\/strong> 1.8% over 10 years. How ridiculous and unpatriotic is that!\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">The budget office\u2019s director is a Republican who worked for the George W. Bush administration. The Trump administration has provided no evidence that the office estimated lower economic growth purposefully to undermine Mr. Trump\u2019s tax cut legislation. In fact, the agency estimated in 2024 and reiterated in January, shortly before Mr. Trump took office, that annual U.S. growth would average 1.8 percent over the next decade.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">In August, the budget office updated an estimate on Mr. Trump\u2019s tariffs, saying that if those rates remained in place, tariff revenue would decrease federal deficits by $4 trillion.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">August 2025<\/h2>\n<p class=\"svelte-1ex06bd\">At a cabinet meeting, Mr. Trump promoted that estimate with delight.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">A few weeks later, the budget office revised down projections for economic growth, citing the tariffs as one factor. Mr. Trump left that report unmentioned.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>To President Trump, the veracity of statistics and scorekeepers can turn on a dime. When data works in his favor, he praises, repeats and often exaggerates the figures. When the numbers on crime or the economy run counter to his narrative, they are frequently deemed \u201cfake,\u201d \u201cphony\u201d and a \u201cfraud.\u201d In his second term, he<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23637,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[2173,1111,779,14413,395,81,2361],"class_list":{"0":"post-23636","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crime-justice","8":"tag-crime","9":"tag-data","10":"tag-job","11":"tag-phony","12":"tag-supports","13":"tag-trump","14":"tag-views"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23636","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=23636"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23636\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/23637"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=23636"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=23636"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=23636"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}