{"id":20272,"date":"2025-09-10T09:13:21","date_gmt":"2025-09-10T09:13:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/?p=20272"},"modified":"2025-09-10T09:13:21","modified_gmt":"2025-09-10T09:13:21","slug":"opinion-changing-clouds-may-tell-us-something-about-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/?p=20272","title":{"rendered":"Opinion | Changing Clouds May Tell Us Something About Climate Change"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-byline svelte-10de1fz\"> <span class=\"g-last-byline svelte-10de1fz\">By Gavin Pretor-Pinney<br \/>Graphics by Taylor Maggiacomo<\/span> <\/p>\n<p class=\"g-extended-bio svelte-4qc6jg\">Mr. Pretor-Pinney is an author in Somerset, Britain, and the founder of the Cloud Appreciation Society.<\/p>\n<p> Sept. 9, 2025  <\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">I love the way clouds billow above your head, drift lazily across blue skies and cast fleeting shadows on the ground below. These ever-shifting sculptures of vapor and light are among nature\u2019s least appreciated marvels.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">That\u2019s why 20 years ago, I started the Cloud Appreciation Society, to remind people to look up. Now climate science is catching up, revealing that clouds aren\u2019t just poetic; they\u2019re pivotal in helping to regulate Earth\u2019s temperature. And their influence on the climate is evolving in ways we\u2019re only beginning to understand.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">How exactly cloud cover will shift in a warming world is anyone\u2019s guess; it\u2019s one of the largest sources of uncertainty in climate science. But it should also be everyone\u2019s concern. What happens to our clouds as the planet warms is so important that we need a renaissance in the study of clouds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Clouds are classified by their altitude and appearance \u2014 whether they look like solid clumps, diffuse layers or wispy streaks. You might remember some of their names from high school:<\/p>\n<p><h3 class=\"g-heading svelte-1yj9fcz\">The 10 main types of cloud<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-source svelte-v3m00m\">Sources: Cloud Appreciation Society; World Meteorological Society; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">These clouds don\u2019t just look different from one another; they also have very different effects on temperatures at the surface of the land or water below. These differences have to do with how much of the sun\u2019s heat they allow through and how much of Earth\u2019s heat they trap in.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Low clouds such as these puffy cumulus typically have a cooling effect, as do the clumpy layers known as stratocumulus and the smooth layers known as stratus.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"g-screenreader\">Animation of fluffy cumulus clouds slowly moving across a field.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Much of the sun\u2019s rays are reflected off their white tops back up into space. And they are dense enough to cast shadows, cooling the surface below \u2014 the natural parasol effect you feel on a beach when one drifts overhead.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"g-screenreader\">A yellow arrow for sunlight moves downwards then bounces off of the cumulus clouds and goes back upwards towards the sky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">Since their water droplets are warmer, they\u2019re as good at radiating Earth\u2019s heat up into space as they are at absorbing it from below. This means they don\u2019t have a pronounced effect of trapping in the warmth below.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"g-screenreader\">An orange arrow for heat moves upwards from Earth and passes through the clouds upwards towards the sky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">High clouds like cirrus and cirrocumulus do the opposite, warming Earth\u2019s surface. Counterintuitively, this is because the ice crystals in these clouds are cold.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"g-screenreader\">Animation of wispy cirrus clouds slowly moving across the same field.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">These high clouds are often not as dense, and so they can let in more of the sun\u2019s rays.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"g-screenreader\">A yellow arrow for sunlight moves downwards and passes through the cirrus clouds towards the ground.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">But since they are cold, they don\u2019t radiate as much of Earth\u2019s heat into space \u2014 more like blankets than umbrellas, resulting in a net warming effect.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"g-screenreader\">An orange arrow for heat moves upwards from Earth and bounces off the cirrus clouds back towards the ground.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">The mix of cloud types over our planet ensures they have an overall cooling effect because the shade from the low clouds outweighs the warming effect of the high ones.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">But it\u2019s unclear how clouds will change in a warming climate. With an atmosphere as vast as ours, there is scant empirical data. For now, climate scientists can only make informed guesses, based on ever more sophisticated computer models.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">As global temperatures rise, scientists believe we may see fewer of the low, cooling clouds but not of the high, warming ones. It would be a classic feedback loop that accelerates the very warming that triggered it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">In a paper published in June in Geophysical Research Letters, scientists analyzed 24 years of satellite data on global cloud coverage and how much of the sun\u2019s energy clouds reflect away. It reports a troubling decrease in highly reflective clouds in the regions of our planet where such clouds mostly form: the stormy mid-latitude zones of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres and the tropical stormy regions around the Equator. Cloud cover in these regions appears to be shrinking by about 0.9 percent to 1.3 percent per decade.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">In a recent paper in the journal Science, reduced low cloud cover contributed about 0.2 degrees Celsius, or 0.32 degrees Fahrenheit, to 2023\u2019s record-breaking average global temperatures. In other words, the reduction in Earth\u2019s low clouds helped explain some of the extreme heat that year.<\/p>\n<p><h3 class=\"g-heading svelte-1yj9fcz\">As low cloud cover decreased in recent years, Earth absorbed more heat from the sun<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p>2000<\/p>\n<p>&#8217;05<\/p>\n<p>&#8217;10<\/p>\n<p>&#8217;15<\/p>\n<p>&#8217;20<\/p>\n<p>&#8217;25<\/p>\n<p class=\"tick-label left-axis svelte-12sxfy8\" style=\"top: 152.8235294117647px; left: -20px; transform: translateY(-102%);\">0<\/p>\n<p class=\"tick-label left-axis svelte-12sxfy8\" style=\"top: 75.41176470588238px; left: -20px; transform: translateY(-102%);\">1<\/p>\n<p class=\"tick-label left-axis svelte-12sxfy8\" style=\"top: -2px; left: -20px; transform: translateY(-102%);\">2% increase in cloud cover<\/p>\n<p class=\"tick-label left-axis svelte-12sxfy8\" style=\"top: 230.23529411764704px; left: -20px; transform: translateY(-102%);\">-1<\/p>\n<p class=\"tick-label left-axis svelte-12sxfy8\" style=\"top: 307.6470588235294px; left: -20px; transform: translateY(-102%);\">-2<\/p>\n<p class=\"tick-label right-axis svelte-12sxfy8\" style=\"top: 307.6470588235294px; right: -20px; transform: translateY(-102%);\">-2<\/p>\n<p class=\"tick-label right-axis svelte-12sxfy8\" style=\"top: 230.23529411764704px; right: -20px; transform: translateY(-102%);\">-1<\/p>\n<p class=\"tick-label right-axis svelte-12sxfy8\" style=\"top: 152.8235294117647px; right: -20px; transform: translateY(-102%);\">0<\/p>\n<p class=\"tick-label right-axis svelte-12sxfy8\" style=\"top: 75.41176470588238px; right: -20px; transform: translateY(-102%);\">1<\/p>\n<p class=\"tick-label right-axis svelte-12sxfy8\" style=\"top: -2px; right: -20px; transform: translateY(-102%);\">2 watts per square meter of absorbed sunlight<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has identified climate feedback loops brought on by clouds as one of the largest unknowns in projections of warming. This uncertainty means we can\u2019t say whether the changes we are beginning to observe in clouds are temporary or systemic shifts caused by human-driven climate change. This is why we urgently need greater investment in the study of clouds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">One thing we can do to avoid exacerbating the effect of high clouds is to stop adding to them with aircraft condensation trails, or contrails. When aircrafts fly through humid, cold air at cruising altitude \u2014 especially near weather fronts \u2014 their exhaust can seed the formation of ice-crystal clouds. When the air at cruising altitude is cool enough and moist enough, these contrails spread into high, thin layers that contribute to atmospheric warming.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">It\u2019s entirely possible for airlines to avoid flying at altitudes where the air is conducive to forming contrails. A 2020 study found that adjusting the cruising altitude of just 2 percent of flights could reduce contrail warming by nearly 60 percent, without using much more fuel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">A far riskier idea for influencing clouds to combat global warming is to try to brighten low clouds over oceans by spraying salt particles into them to increase their reflectivity and amplify their cooling effect.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-caption svelte-v3m00m\">Cumulus and cumulus congestus clouds<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-credit svelte-v3m00m\">Kristina Barker<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-caption svelte-v3m00m\">Cumulonimbus producing localized showers<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-credit svelte-v3m00m\">Kristina Barker<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">I\u2019m against manipulating clouds \u2014 especially given the possibility of unintended consequences for a system as chaotic and vast as Earth\u2019s climate. And I\u2019m not alone. In 2024, concerned local authorities in California shut down a University of Washington research project about the practicalities of brightening clouds with salt particles. A 2023 study and a 2024 study showed with climate model simulations that cloud brightening might cool one region while unintentionally exacerbating heat or leading to monsoon changes elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">But as we learn more about the potential tipping points of our climate \u2014 irreversible changes in the system \u2014 we may find ourselves approaching one too quickly for decarbonization efforts alone to prevent it. Some understanding of the likely effects of geoengineering projects such as cloud brightening will then be invaluable, no matter how misguided such interventions might seem. We need to understand the implications long before nations propose carrying out such projects on a large scale.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">There\u2019s also a role for citizen science to improve the analysis of clouds and their role in global warming. We at the Cloud Appreciation Society are partnering with Asterisk Labs, a worker-owned cooperative research lab, and will be inviting the public to use our CloudSpotter app to interpret the cloud types in satellite images. The data should enable us to train artificial intelligence models to trawl through the vast library of satellite cloud images to reveal with greater clarity and precision the gradual trends in Earth\u2019s shifting cloud cover.<\/p>\n<p class=\"g-text  svelte-wbgwfj\">If clouds are changing, then so should the way we study them. This renaissance won\u2019t happen on its own. It requires all of us to look up \u2014 and take notice.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Gavin Pretor-PinneyGraphics by Taylor Maggiacomo Mr. Pretor-Pinney is an author in Somerset, Britain, and the founder of the Cloud Appreciation Society. Sept. 9, 2025 I love the way clouds billow above your head, drift lazily across blue skies and cast fleeting shadows on the ground below. These ever-shifting sculptures of vapor and light are<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":20273,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[50],"tags":[270,3215,186,5490,440],"class_list":{"0":"post-20272","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-environment","8":"tag-change","9":"tag-changing","10":"tag-climate","11":"tag-clouds","12":"tag-opinion"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20272","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20272"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20272\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/20273"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20272"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20272"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/naijaglobalnews.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}